中文原文 · 中文 + English · History index / 历史目录
2022¶
2022¶
战争 防疫 和爬虫¶
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War, Epidemic, and Spider Robots¶
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2022年上半年中亚地区揭开了乱局, 先是哈萨克发生大规模抗议,接着俄军入侵乌克兰。 普京坚持称之为特殊军事行动,不是战争。 同时中国爆发的不只是病毒,更多的是防疫。
In the first half of 2022, the Central Asian region saw a chaotic situation unfold: First came large-scale protests in Kazakhstan, followed by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Putin insisted on calling it a special military operation, not a war. Meanwhile, China was not just grappling with a virus; there were also major issues related to epidemic prevention and control.
纳粹的故事似乎没有结束, 俄罗斯总统要对乌克兰“去纳粹化”, 而亚速营 就是他口中的一个新纳粹、极右翼军事组织。 战前亚速营部署在 Mariupol, 碰巧也在两个新发现的天然气产区附近。
The story of the Nazis seems far from over, with the Russian president calling for "denazification" in Ukraine, and Azov Regiment being one of the neo-Nazi, far-right military organizations he refers to. Prior to the war, the Azov Regiment was deployed in Mariupol, which coincidentally is also near two newly discovered gas fields.
地理上黑海在欧洲东边, 黑海西北是亚速海, 亚速海北面有一个港口城市 Mariupol, 港口靠海有一座钢铁厂, 亚速营 或者 亚速团就是部署在这个港口的一支乌克兰国民警卫部队, 人数大约 2000 人。记者去采访他们的时候, 亚速营的人清清楚楚的说:我们和纳粹没有一点关系, 但是普京愿意说我们是纳粹就让他说去吧。
Geographically, the Black Sea is in Eastern Europe, to its northwest is the Azov Sea, the north of which features a port city named Mariupol. There is an iron and steel plant by the sea in this port, and the Azov Regiment or Azov Battalion is a Ukrainian National Guard unit deployed there, numbering approximately 2,000 people. When journalists went to interview them, members of the Azov Regiment clearly said: We have nothing to do with Nazis, but if Putin wants to say we are Nazis, let him go ahead and say it.
另外一边,全世界都知道普京的小绿人们是不接受采访的。
On the other hand, it is known worldwide that Putin's little green men do not give interviews.
事实上亚速营的成立和普京有关系, 2014年的时候乌克兰的局势完全和他有关系, 当时乌克兰的总统,Yanukovych 得到他的支持或者压力, 突然拒绝签署和欧盟的自由贸易协议激怒了乌克兰人, 然后乌克兰很快爆发了的尊严革命, Revolution of Dignity, (不是什么女仆革命) 大游行、广场集会,愤怒的市民和防暴警察在雪地上肉搏, 汽油瓶对付催泪弹,一名接一名的抗议者被射杀倒在街头, 人们燃烧轮胎释放浓烟让警察狙击手无法瞄准, 乌克兰人组织了古老的百人队, 上百万人一起打赢了防暴部队。 抗争者赶跑了普京的朋友乌克兰当时的原总统, 然而就在胜利初现时,普京的小绿人们出现在乌克兰, 俄军支持着分裂分子给乌克兰人一击沉重的背刺。 这个时候乌克兰军队相当的弱, 还不是变成小绿人的红军的对手, 而且乌克兰很多地方都已经是乱七八糟, 所以就成立了不少民兵组织, 混乱局面中这些民兵帮助维持社区安全, 其中就包括亚速营。 最初亚速营在北方城市 Kharkiv, 整编后调去了南方亚速海边。
In fact, the establishment of Azov Battalion is related to Putin, In 2014, Ukraine's situation was entirely related to him. At that time, the Ukrainian president Yanukovych received his support or pressure, His sudden rejection of signing a free trade agreement with the EU enraged Ukrainians, Then the Revolution of Dignity (not Maidan) broke out in Ukraine, Mass demonstrations and square gatherings; angry citizens and riot police clashed on snowy ground, Gas cans were used against tear gas, one by one protesters fell dead in the streets, People burned tires to release dense smoke so that police snipers could not target them, Ukrainians organized ancient city militias, Hundreds of thousands together fought off the riot troops. The protesters chased away Putin's friend, Ukraine's former president, However, just as victory was in sight, Putin's green men appeared in Ukraine, Russian troops supported separatists delivering a heavy blow to Ukrainians. At that time, Ukrainian armed forces were quite weak, They could not even match up to the red army when it turned green, And many parts of Ukraine were already in chaos, So several militia groups emerged, In this chaotic situation, these militias helped maintain community safety, Among them was the Azov Battalion. Initially, the Azov Battalion was based in the northern city Kharkiv, After reorganization, they were transferred to the southern Azov Sea coast.
普京从乌克兰切下了三块领土之后, 乌克兰和俄国支持的分裂主义者之间一直处于战争中。 这三个地方是克里米亚半岛,Donetsk, Luhansk。
After Putin annexed three territories from Ukraine, a war has been ongoing between Ukrainian forces and Russian-backed separatists. These places are the Crimean Peninsula, Donetsk, and Luhansk.
其中 Crimean peninsula 南端海边的 Yalta 正是 1945 年三巨头商定二战后世界局面的雅尔塔。 Donetsk, Luhansk 两地合称 Donbass,顿巴斯, 三百年前这里就开始煤碳开采,是乌克兰重要的工业区。 只要普京的军队在这些地区支撑着分裂乌克兰的军力, 有这些不接受采访的俄罗斯小绿人们藏在这里,战争就会继续。 14年到现在双方已经打了八年并且已经战死超过一万人, 这还没有计算俄罗斯自己不承认的很多死在乌克兰的俄军。
Among these, the Yalta at the southern coast of the Crimean Peninsula was where the Big Three agreed on the post-World War II world situation during the Yalta Conference in 1945.
Donetsk and Luhansk are collectively known as Donbass, or the Donbas region. Coal mining began here three hundred years ago and it is an important industrial area of Ukraine.
As long as Putin's army supports separatist forces in these regions, with these unacknowledged Russian "little green men" hiding here, the war will continue.
Since 2014 until now, both sides have been fighting for eight years, with over ten thousand people killed. This does not include the many Russian soldiers who died in Ukraine according to Russia's own unacknowledged figures.
2014年俄罗斯遭受到多国制裁后, 俄国的 GDP 从13年的 2.3 万亿下降到 21年的 1.5 万亿。 但是最近能源价格上涨让俄国外汇储备上升, 如果普京想要重新消灭纳粹,现在是一个机会, 而且俄罗斯的主要媒体也已经把亚速营甚至乌克兰宣传成为新纳粹主义了。
After Russia was subjected to sanctions by multiple countries in 2014, Russia's GDP fell from $2.3 trillion in 2013 to $1.5 trillion in 2021. However, recently, the rise in energy prices has led to an increase in Russia's foreign reserves. If Putin wants to revive the campaign against Nazism, now might be a chance, and Russia's major media outlets have already portrayed ATO and even Ukraine as neo-Nazi entities.
说你是纳粹你就是纳粹,普京大帝这样的牛人就是说一不二。
You are a Nazi, and Putin the Great is such a person who speaks with authority.
Nazi 做为词根, Neo-Nazi 是新纳粹, Chi-Nazi 是支纳粹, China 是中国, ChinaXi 是当今圣上。
"Nazi" is a root term; "Neo-Nazi" means new Nazis; "Chi-Nazi" means China Nazis, with "China" referring to the country and "Xi" to the current emperor.
如果说亚速营的徽章和纳粹的标志有点相似, 这是挺勉强的相似, 俄军车队上丑陋的 Z 字也同样有点相似, 另一支俄军的 V 字不也可以说是纳粹军服上的胜利之 V ?
If the emblem of Azov Regiment does bear a passing resemblance to Nazi symbols, it's a stretch, and the ugly "Z" on Russian military vehicles is not much better, while another Russian formation uses a "V," can that be construed as similar to the "V for Victory" symbol worn by Nazi troops?
对符号的争论会变得无休无止, 所以我们的观察重点从来都是死亡而不是大帝们如何说。
Debates over symbols would go on endlessly, so our focus has always been on death rather than how the great emperors say it.
去年俄军在乌克兰边境已经完成了大规模的集结, 但是战争还没有爆发,很多人不相信现在谁会在欧洲东面真的大打出手, 所以更多细节也放在开战后再补吧。
Last year, the Russian military had already completed a large-scale buildup near Ukraine's border, but war had not yet broken out. Many people did not believe that anyone would really engage in a major conflict in Eastern Europe at the time. So, more details will be filled in after the war begins.
元旦第一天的新闻焦点转到了哈萨克,就在中国东边,毗邻新疆的邻国。
The news focus on New Year's Day shifted to Kazakhstan, which is located east of China and borders Xinjiang.
2022年 1 月 1日, 哈薩克斯坦, Kazakhstan, 提升了民用燃料价格,立即激发了大规模抗议, 中亚的局势开启了不平静的新年。
On January 1, 2022, Kazakhstan raised civilian fuel prices, sparking large-scale protests immediately. The chaos in Central Asia marked an uneasy new year.
哈萨克 国土面积 200 万平方公里,人口二千万, 其中 哈萨克族 68%, 俄罗斯族 19%, GDP 1800 亿美元。
Kazakhstan has a land area of 2 million square kilometers with a population of twenty million. 68% are Kazakhs, while 19% are Russians. Its GDP is $180 billion.
也就是说哈萨克有十几个广东省的面积,总人口却只有一个广州市, GDP 也不到广州的一半,同样上海人口也比哈萨克全国人民还多。
That means Kazakhstan has an area comparable to more than ten Guangdong provinces, but its total population is only that of Guangzhou city. Its GDP is also less than half of Guangzhou's. Moreover, Shanghai's population exceeds the entire population of Kazakhstan.
从 1990 年苏联解体后到 2019 年近三十年时间里 哈萨克一直由前苏联高官 Nazarbayev, 纳扎尔巴耶夫 做总统, 纳扎 2019年辞职后新的总统是他的老部下 Tokayev, 托卡耶夫。 辞职前最后一次选举中,纳扎 是以 97.7% 的绝对高得票率当选的, 辞职后,纳扎 仍然控制着国安部队。
From 1991 to recent years, when it was closely tied to Putin, Kazakhstan saw an increase in Chinese investments. Foreign investment mainly comes from: Denmark ($33.8 billion), the United States ($19.4 billion), Switzerland ($12.5 billion), China ($6.2 billion), and France ($4.7 billion). However, corrupt regimes have significant influence over each other.
纳扎 的女婿们,有国安高官,也有商界精英。
Na Zha's sons-in-law include high-ranking officials from the state security agency as well as business elites.
该国资源富饶,出口石油、天然气,还有铜矿、铀矿, 这些出口占比超过 70%,这样的情况很容易滋生独裁与腐败, 官僚集团不需要讨好民众,只要出口资源就可以得到资金。
The country is rich in resources, exporting oil, natural gas, copper, and uranium, among others.
These exports account for more than 70%, which easily fosters authoritarianism and corruption. The bureaucratic elite do not need to cater to the people; they can obtain funds simply by exporting resources.
哈萨克人的集会游行抗议不仅是人民反抗, 而且是老中青三层官僚在进行危险的权力游戏。
The gatherings and protests of the Kazakhs are not just a people's resistance; they are also a dangerous power game being played by old, middle-aged, and young officials.
记者询问游行人群 抗议的原因是什么? 有的说:高昂的燃料价格和低廉的薪酬。 有的说:COVID-19 瘟疫让经济变差。 有的说:不是一个问题,是很长时间很多问题,腐败的领导人让我们受够了!
Journalists asked the marchers what they were protesting against. Some said: high fuel prices and low wages. Others said: the economic downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Still others said: not just one issue, but a long time of many problems; corrupt leaders have had enough of us!
在抗议示威混乱升级时, 有国安部队放弃了职守,甚至让抗议者得到了武器。 在阿拉木图, Almaty, 这座城市在1997年之前是哈萨克的首都, 市长办公室所在的大楼被烧了。
During the escalation of protests and demonstrations, some national security forces abandoned their posts, even providing protesters with weapons. In Almaty, which was the capital of Kazakhstan until 1997, the building housing the mayor's office was set on fire.
托卡, Tokayev,此时依据《集安组织 CSTO》成员身份向普京求救的行为如同火中取栗。 不管他的目的是什么,他请求俄罗斯军队前来平息国内的抗议。
Toka, Tokayev, at this moment, his behavior of seeking help from Putin based on his membership in the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) is akin to picking chestnuts from a fire. Regardless of his intentions, he is requesting Russian troops to come and quell the domestic protests.
普京 派遣数千名精锐伞兵立即前往 哈萨克。 自从去年美军撤离阿富汗之后, 俄军在中亚当然会更有更多业务。 回想起美军直升机拉走领馆人员时的狼狈, 俄军应该是有机会展示战斗民族的骁勇了。
Putin dispatched thousands of elite paratroopers immediately to Kazakhstan. Since the US military withdrew from Afghanistan last year, the Russians would naturally have more business in Central Asia as well. Recalling how humiliated the American helicopters looked when they evacuated embassy personnel, the Russian military should have an opportunity to showcase the valor of the战斗民族 (fighting nation).
1月7日,习近平 向 托卡耶夫 致口信 表示: 近日哈萨克斯坦发生大规模骚乱,造成重大人员伤亡和财产损失, 我谨向你表示诚挚的慰问。你在关键时刻果断采取有力举措, 迅速平息事态,体现了作为政治家的责任与担当、 对国家和人民高度负责的立场... 并表示要为 托卡 提供支援,平息颜色革命...
On January 7, Xi Jinping sent a message of condolences to Tokayev: Recently, a large-scale riot occurred in Kazakhstan, causing significant casualties and property damage. I extend my sincere condolences. At this critical moment, you have taken decisive and firm measures promptly to quell the situation, demonstrating your responsibility and commitment as a politician, and your high sense of duty towards the country and its people... And he expressed that support would be provided to Tokayev to counter color revolutions...
这是奴隶主的说话风格, 这些东西几乎说不出人话了。 在我们的视野中,这一片地图上最大的金字塔是中国, 俄罗斯已经是一座体积小了数倍的金字塔。
This is the style of slave owners, These almost can't be described as human. In our view, the largest pyramid on this map is China, Russia is already a pyramid several times smaller in volume.
当我们以金字塔为中国建模时, 我们是为当前的国家构造模型, 它必然的边界条件就是所谓当前的人类文明。 把地理环境、经济贸易、科技、文化、政治、 军事等等复杂的互动归结为一个边界条件。
When we model China after the pyramids, we are constructing a model of the current state, whose inevitable boundary conditions are what is所谓 currently considered human civilization. We reduce all complex interactions such as geographical environment, economic trade, technology, culture, politics, and military to these boundary conditions.
边界条件对内部的影响就是金字塔必然修墙的原因, 不论是长城还是中共网络防火墙都是金字塔对边界压力的反应。
The influence of boundary conditions on the interior is the reason why the pyramid must build walls, whether it be the Great Wall or the Communist Party's network firewall, both are reactions of the pyramid to boundary pressure.
金字塔内发生人类史上最多的死亡, 在维护杀人的权力时一切罪恶都被催生, 大血祭能不能被阻止的问题就等同于人类文明能不能阻止中国人屠宰中国人的问题。 这不是以孙子兵法或者三国演义的思路去推演的, 相反我们更多的借鉴几何、力学的方法来推导。 和小粉红们做文字之争是浪费时间, 我们仅仅观察几何模型。这时候, 分析边界条件就是观察外部世界的影响力能不能中止大血祭的发生。
The most human deaths in history occurred within the pyramids, With the maintenance of the power to kill, all evil is spawned, The question of whether the Great Blood Sacrifice can be stopped is equivalent to the question of whether human civilization can stop Chinese people from killing Chinese people. This is not about deducing through the logic of The Art of War or Romance of the Three Kingdoms, Instead, we more frequently draw on methods in geometry and mechanics. Engaging in word wars with Little Pink Roses is a waste of time; We merely observe geometric models. At this point, Analyzing boundary conditions means observing whether external world influences can halt the occurrence of the Great Blood Sacrifice.
金字塔开始分解的标志, 从几何上来说很简单,就是出现第二个顶点。 不论这个顶点是什么,只要它能够出现并且存在, 它都将让金字塔不再是金字塔。
The marker for the disintegration of the pyramids, geometrically speaking, is simple: a second apex appears. Regardless of what this apex is, as long as it can appear and exist, it will no longer be a pyramid.
在这样的分析中,传统的各种崩溃, 比如房市崩溃、股市崩溃、经济崩溃、人口萎缩、 人民饥荒大量饿死、 赤地千里无人烟、 环境污染活不下去等等都不被我们当做金字塔的崩溃, 这些都是大血祭中的正常。 只有当金字塔的顶点出现分裂迹象的时候我们认为金字塔结构可能会出现变化, 比如邓小平压迫胡耀邦,江泽民欺负胡锦涛, 这些狗咬狗的事情远比上述各种崩溃和饥荒对结构的作用力更大。
In such an analysis, traditional的各种崩溃, such as the real estate market collapse, stock market crash, economic collapse, population decline, mass starvation of the people, desolation for miles around with no one left, and environmental pollution making it unbearable to live—none of these are considered collapses of the pyramid. All of them are normal occurrences in great blood sacrifices. Only when signs of division appear at the apex of the pyramid do we consider that the structure might change. For example, Deng Xiaoping suppressing Hu Yaobang, Jiang Zemin bullying Hu Jintao—such dog-eating-dog events have a far greater impact on the structure than all those various collapses and famines mentioned above.
为什么不用金字塔模拟美国? 因为事实上做不到把五毛小粉红口中的丑国简化成为一座金字塔。 美国总统虽然拥有很高的权力,但是他被国会山制衡着。 一百名参议员四百名众议员都不是总统任命的, 五十名州长和相应的州议会也不可能是总统任命的, 这数百个独立的权力顶点让人根本无法对美国应用金字塔模型。
Why not simulate the United States with a pyramid? Because it is in fact impossible to simplify the丑国in the rhetoric of five-cent and light-pink users into a pyramid. Although the President has high authority, he is checked by Congress. One hundred Senators and four hundred Representatives are not appointed by the President, and fifty State Governors and their respective state legislatures cannot possibly be appointed by the President either. This hundreds of independent power points make it fundamentally impossible to apply the pyramid model to the United States.
欧盟也有类似的原因在可见的未来都无法成为一座金字塔, 这并不是说美欧的政客们就一定没有和金字塔上的爬虫们一样腐烂的灵魂, 而是说金字塔内才有的独特现象在金字塔外就很难发生, 最独特的现象就是大血祭和它的周期。
The EU will also have similar reasons for being unable to become a pyramid in the foreseeable future, this is not to say that the politicians of Europe and America necessarily have souls as rotten as those of the creatures climbing the pyramid, but rather that unique phenomena within the pyramid are unlikely to occur outside it, and the most unique phenomenon is the Great Blood Sacrifice and its cycle.
回到哈萨克,近年中国对 哈萨克 的投资在增长。 哈萨克的外国投资主要如下,以十亿美元为单位: 丹麦 $33.8 B, 美国 $19.4 B, 瑞士 $12.5 B, 中国 $6.2 B, 法国 $4.7 B。 然而腐败的政权相互之间的影响力也许可以超过账面数字。
Returning to Kazakhstan, recent years have seen an increase in Chinese investment in Kazakhstan. Foreign investment in Kazakhstan is mainly as follows (in billions of US dollars): Denmark $33.8B, United States $19.4B, Switzerland $12.5B, China $6.2B, France $4.7B. However, the influence of corrupt regimes on each other may surpass the numbers on paper.
包子捎去口信的当天, 托卡 公然下令:开枪射杀,无须警告。 Almaty 阿拉木图 枪声大作,一天后就宣布 哈萨克 基本平静了。 据报道数十人死亡,数千人被捕。
On the day the baozi (steamed bun) was sent with a message, Toka openly ordered: "Shoot to kill, no warning necessary." In Almaty (阿拉木图), gunshots rang out, and just one day later it was announced that Kazakhstan was basically calm. It is reported that dozens died and thousands were arrested.
这也许是今后中亚政治的模式:中俄背靠背,让独裁者们联合起来。
This might be the future political model in Central Asia: with Russia and China backing each other, dictators unite.
在民主国家纷纷表达关注, 并且希望 哈萨克 的抗议者 和 镇压者 都保持克制、解决问题时, 白宫发言人表示 俄罗斯 不应该习惯性的误解美国, 哈萨克 的抗议不是美国挑动的云云。
In response to concerns expressed in democratic nations, and the hope that the protesters and authorities in Kazakhstan would remain restrained to resolve the issue, the White House spokesperson stated that Russia should not habitually misinterpret the United States, and that the protests in Kazakhstan were not instigated by the US.
保守的欧洲与迟缓的美洲都有自己的难处, 新年开初,美国股市小升小落。 疫情中洒钱的做法让美国市场有太多现金,通胀压力变大。
Conservative Europe and sluggish America both have their own challenges, At the beginning of the new year, US stock markets fluctuated slightly. The practice of throwing money around during the pandemic has left too much cash in the American market, increasing inflationary pressures.
哈萨克是个内陆国家, 处在四大地缘政治版块形成的绞盘中间, 北面是俄罗斯,东面中国,南面是其它几个 斯坦国, 西面是土耳其(突厥力量),还有被普京用枪顶住了脑袋的乌克兰。 中、俄都不想见到 哈萨克 出现异常, 权力在哪位朋友手里倒是都没关系。
Kazakhstan is an inland country, caught in the middle of the four geopolitical blocks forming a vice grip, with Russia to the north, China to the east, other Central Asian states to the south, and Turkey (Turkic influence) to the west, where Ukraine is held up by Putin’s gun. Neither China nor Russia wants to see Kazakhstan experience any anomalies, the power resting with which friend does not matter.
作为几个「斯坦」 国中面积最大,资源富饶的一个, 哈萨克斯坦国 为里海与黑海周围的地缘政治做出了例子, 在俄国军力 和 中国经济的支撑下,恶棍勾搭流氓, 独裁、暴政、贪腐的政府相互支援可以更轻松的对人民施加镇压和监控。
As one of the largest and most resource-rich countries among several "Stans," Kazakhstan serves as an example in the geopolitics around the Caspian Sea and the Black Sea, with the support of Russian military power and Chinese economy, rogues collude with each other, dictatorships, tyranny, and corruption can more easily impose repression and surveillance on their people.
普京 因此一时尽显英雄本色, 俄军也已经在乌克兰边境完成了集结。 他们也在哈萨克证实自己虽然只是世界第二强军, 但是解决问题却更为快速有效。 如果俄军在中亚更为强势, 在 中俄 对 美欧 的2:2的局面里俄国可以得到更多谈判筹码。 既然中国已经冲上大国崛起的只能加速的单行道, 普京没有理由不将中亚抓在自己手里并且让欧洲在敬畏中保持距离, 从而为自己奠定一个大帝般的历史地位。
Putin thus briefly displayed his heroism, and the Russian military has already completed its集结 in Ukraine. They also demonstrated in Kazakhstan that although they are merely the world's second strongest military, they can solve problems more quickly and effectively. If Russia were stronger in Central Asia, in the 2:2 balance between China and Russia vis-à-vis the US and Europe, Russia could obtain more negotiation chips. Since China has already sprinted onto the irreversible path of becoming a great power, Putin has no reason not to secure Central Asia for himself and maintain Europe at a respectful distance, thus establishing his own imperial historical status.
虽然这样的帝国争霸的剧本早就不流行了, 但是所谓地缘政治是大地之神规定的法则, 既然人类还要在地面上谋生, 那么地缘政治的力量在地域控制生物的本能中就会浮现出来, 它推动国与国交战,让战士们把鲜血撒在大地上, 在乌克兰原野上盛开一朵一朵的巨大的向日葵。
Although such a script of imperial rivalry was no longer in vogue, the so-called geopolitics are the rules prescribed by the earth deity. Since humans still have to survive on this land, the power of geopolitics, rooted in the instinct for territorial control, will surface. It drives nation against nation into war, spilling the blood of soldiers onto the ground, and on the plains of Ukraine, giant sunflowers bloom one after another.
乌克兰不仅是俄罗斯的化石能源输入欧洲的重要管线, 而且黑海附近新发现的天然气储量有数万亿立方米, 这对以能源出口为主要收入的俄罗斯很重要。
Ukraine is not only a crucial pipeline for Russia’s fossil fuel supplies to Europe, but also has newly discovered natural gas reserves in the Black Sea measured in trillions of cubic meters, which is significant for Russia, whose main source of income is energy exports.
此时全球每日新增 COVID-19 病例数字冲过二百万, 死亡数据并没有跟随上升,相反缓慢下降到 5000 左右。 因为 Omicron 变种传染性强,但是致命性弱, 各国都开始调节防疫政策,让国民尽快恢复正常生活。 与病毒共存渐渐成为全球共识,除了中国。
Currently, the number of new COVID-19 cases worldwide exceeds two million daily, while the death toll has not risen but slowly declined to around 5,000. Due to the highly contagious but less lethal Omicron variant, 各国都开始调节防疫政策,让国民尽快恢复正常生活. governments began adjusting their pandemic policies to allow their citizens to return to normal life as soon as possible. Coexistence with the virus has gradually become a global consensus, except for China.
2月 4 - 20 日,北京如期举行 2022年冬季奥运会, 成为首个举办过夏季和冬季两季奥林匹克的城市。
From February 4-20, Beijing successfully hosted the 2022 Winter Olympics, becoming the first city to host both summer and winter Olympics.
本届冬奥会受到的 DISLIKE 应该符合中国人目前给世界各国留下的负面印象, 不少人将北京冬奥和纳粹与前苏联曾经举行的奥运会进行比较。 被国际抵制后,只有 21 个国家派出了政府代表前来北京出席, 而其中 6 个还是没有运动员参赛仅为北京打气的友邦。 中亚五个斯坦国全部来了,中国前几天向这五国提供了五亿美元, 狐朋狗友们的出场费平均是:一国一亿。
The dislike for this Winter Olympics should match the negative impression that China has left on the world currently, with many people comparing the Beijing Winter Olympics to those held by Nazi Germany and the former Soviet Union. After international boycotts, only 21 countries sent government representatives to attend in Beijing, and among them, six were friendly nations without athletes participating, merely cheering for Beijing. All five Central Asian "Stans" came; China had provided $500 million to these five countries just a few days before, with the average fee for fawning supporters being one billion per country.
普京 也来到北京出席了开幕式, Putin,他是现场最醒目的外国政要,因为其它重要人物都没有来。 大约十多个小时后他就完成工作返回 俄罗斯,连宴会也没有出席。 随后中俄公布普京和习近平签署了总额超过一千亿美元的几个大合同, 并且中国还有发表《中俄友谊没有上限》之类的官宣。
Vladimir Putin also came to Beijing for the opening ceremony, Putin was the most prominent foreign political figure present, as other important figures did not attend. He completed his work and returned to Russia about ten hours later without even attending the banquet. Subsequently, China and Russia announced that Putin and Xi Jinping had signed several major contracts worth over one billion US dollars, and China also issued an official statement titled "No Limit to Sino-Russian Friendship."
这样的宣传很快会把中国的形象再咬掉一大块。
Such propaganda will quickly chip away another large piece of China's image.
各国媒体对奥运会的评论很冷, 多国政府警告自己的运动员, 他们的手机和电脑必然会在中共的数字监控系统中, 因此建议运动员们在奥运会期间使用一次性的电子设备。
The comments from various media about the Olympics are cold, Multiple governments have warned their athletes that their phones and computers will inevitably be monitored by the Chinese Communist Party's digital surveillance system, so they advise athletes to use disposable electronic devices during the Olympics.
比赛时,中国选手为了夺取金牌做出了推搡和阻挡其它国家选手的行为, 裁判们则为中国保驾护航。 同时为了防疫 COVID-19, 这一届比赛是隔离的, 也就是说没有真正的现场观众。
During the competition, Chinese athletes made pushing and blocking moves against competitors from other countries to win gold medals, while judges protected them. At the same time, to prevent COVID-19, this edition of the games was held in isolation, meaning there were no actual live spectators.
奥林匹克的精神变成为大国力量傲慢的展示和为了夺取金牌不择手段的奋斗精神。
The spirit of the Olympics has become a showcase of arrogance for great powers and a relentless pursuit of gold at any cost.
在比赛进展的同时,徐州丰县浮起一桩盛世惨案。 在一间破屋内,有相机拍到一位女人被铁链拴着脖子, 她衣不蔽体,牙齿脱落, 可能已经生育了至少八名孩子,其中七个男孩。 她明显不是本地人,还可能会说英语,因此猜测是受过高等教育的。
As the competition progressed, a tragic case emerged in Fengxian, Xuzhou. In a dilapidated house, a camera captured an image of a woman with her neck chained, barely clothed, with missing teeth. She had given birth to at least eight children, seven of whom were boys. She was clearly not from the locality and might even speak English, suggesting she was likely educated.
她可能是买卖女人的活证,也可能是一名性奴, 或者是用来传宗接代的生殖工具,这一切都可能是民间的猜测, 因为侵犯她的正是官府,所以没有可能深入调查。 她能够活在人间地狱的最后原因可能是因为她的子宫还有较好的功能。 她在数十年里的遭遇是多数中国女人自以为不会发生在自己身上的无穷循环: 受骗、强奸、轮奸、拔牙、逃跑、捉回、虐待、怀孕、生产、求救、殴打、转卖...
She might be a living testimony to the trafficking of women, or a sex slave, or a reproductive tool for bearing children. All of this could just be folk speculation, as her abusers are officials, making any thorough investigation impossible. The reason she survives in this hell on earth might be that her uterus still functions well. Her experiences over several decades are akin to the endless cycle many Chinese women believe will never happen to them: deception, rape, gang rape, tooth extraction, fleeing, recapture, abuse, pregnancy, childbirth, seeking help, beatings, resale...
但是相比承受这一切的其它很多女人来说她碰巧被发现了。
But she happened to be one of many women who had to bear all of this.
不出意外,此事在中国被反复删除,但是在海外网络上传得洪水滔天。 当她还是少女的时候,当地官员们可能也参与了轮奸, 并且它们清楚的知道在自己的家乡有大量的女人都是买来的。
Unsurprisingly, this incident was repeatedly deleted in China, but it spread like wildfire on overseas networks. When she was still a teenager, local officials might have also been involved in gang-raping her, and they were well aware that there were many women bought for the purpose in their hometown.
徐州市政府后来不得不数次发布声明, 每一次都推脱责任,每一次都试图掩埋, 至今没有让受虐待的子宫的女主人接受一次简单的采访, 或者提供可信的证据显示她接受到了治疗。
Later, the government of Xuzhou had to issue multiple statements, each time shirking responsibility and attempting to bury the issue. To this day, no simple interview has been conducted with the woman whose uterus was abused, and no credible evidence has been provided to show that she received treatment.
政府翻来覆去的托词让正常人无法理解: 1, 她是结婚领证的... 2, 她是被好心收留的... 3, 是娘家让人带她来的... 4, 是刁民们伤害了她,(政府当然是正义的)...
Government’s flip-flopping explanations make it hard for ordinary people to understand: 1. She got married and registered... 2. She was taken in by kind-hearted people... 3. It was her family who brought her here... 4. It was the troublemakers who hurt her (of course, the government is just)...
多名明显的加害人更是一度受到政府表扬, 强奸犯被称为好心奶爸,甚至开始利用网络流量直播卖货, 当地多名警察后来也被评选得到全国优秀的荣誉。 而试图前去解救铁链女的至少两位女性则被当地过百名警察层层设防、百般阻挠, 最后消失在一间派出所内(基层警察机构),到二月中旬时已经失联了。
Multiple notorious perpetrators were even once commended by the government, rapists were called kind babysitters and even began to use live streaming on the internet for product sales, and several local police officers later were selected to receive national outstanding honors. Meanwhile, at least two women who attempted to rescue the woman in the iron chains faced层层设防和百般阻挠 from over a hundred local police officers, ultimately vanishing inside a police station (a grassroots police institution) and went missing by mid-February.
去寻找失联的人的人也失联了,所有关于铁链女的声音都在中国消失了。
The person going to find the missing girl also went missing, and all mentions of the chained woman have vanished in China.
地狱比金字塔更好的原因在于:地狱里很可能不会仅仅屠宰好人。
The reason hell is better than the pyramids is that in hell, it's very likely that only bad people will be slaughtered.
在当前人类文明状态下, 没有言论自由的人不算人, 没有言论自由的社会不是人的社会。
In the current state of human civilization, a person who lacks freedom of speech is not a true person, and a society without freedom of speech is not a society for people.
冬奥会上中国抢到不少金牌, 这为小粉红们增添了很多块自豪的理由, 他们不是因为人类对竞技体育的挑战精神而自豪, 他们也不知道自己是在为祖国对运动员的职业精神的破坏而自豪。 这一代数亿人的脑回路又被设置畸形无法分辨是非, 无法从逻辑上理解自己也就是一个铁链女, 在他们的喝彩声中数以百万的国人正在被政治迫害, 而这些小粉红或者岁月静好却说: 我们不关心这些只有别有用心的人才会关心的政治。
At the Winter Olympics, China secured quite a few gold medals, which has given many Little Pinkhos plenty of reasons to feel proud. However, they don't feel proud for humanity's spirit of challenging in sports; they also have no idea that they are feeling proud about the destruction of athletes' professional spirits by their country. The brain circuits of hundreds of millions of people in this generation have been set abnormally, making them unable to distinguish right from wrong, unable to logically understand that they themselves are just like a woman chained. While millions of Chinese are being politically persecuted in their cheers, these Little Pinkhos or those who live in peace say: "We don't care about these politics only people with ulterior motives care about."
这样的回答让人无法判断小粉红们的平均智商究竟是太高还是太低。
Such answers make it impossible to determine whether the average IQ of Little Pink Roses is too high or too low.
政治,必然的,是分配重要社会资源的方法。 因此,世界上还有脸自称文明的人类社会必须让人们多少的有一点研究政治问题的机会。
Politics, necessarily, is the method of allocating important social resources. Therefore, there must be some opportunity for people in so-called civilized human societies to study political issues.
铁链女当然无法得到和自己的安全有关的任何一点社会资源, 这样的人间悲剧让人无可奈何。 过于理智的人会不合时宜地说: 她一人的存在又消失的事实就足以证明中国十亿人民等于十亿畜生。
Of course, the woman in chains cannot obtain any social resources related to her safety. Such a tragic human story is beyond our helplessness. A person who is overly rational might say at an inappropriate time: The fact that her existence and disappearance alone prove that one billion people in China are equivalent to one billion animals.
为什么似乎仅仅在十来年前,中国政府还不至于这样黑暗? 前文曾经提到过,胡锦涛和温家宝的第一个任期内被江泽民压制, 一般认为这是江的跋扈, 但是江的行为哪怕恶劣也是针对胡的, 是神仙斗法远离底层的。高层受到的欺辱尽管让小粉红们愤愤不平, 在金字塔模型中却总是更有可能减弱底层压迫。
Why does it seem that the Chinese government was not so dark just a decade or two ago? As mentioned earlier, during Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao's first terms of office, they were suppressed by Jiang Zemin, and it is generally believed that this was due to Jiang's arrogance. However, even if Jiang's behavior was恶劣 (poor) in nature, it was targeted at Hu, a conflict between the gods taking place far from the grassroots. While the humiliation高层 received may have made little pink roses angry, in the pyramid model, it is more likely to weaken the oppression at the grassroots level.
在金字塔模型中顶点高于一切, 因此对顶点的制约几乎总是有好的结果。 江泽民的行为碰巧就是对顶点的制约, 胡锦涛曾经提出的“不折腾”的工作方法也是这种制约的结果。 以胡温时期的情况来说,不仅经济发展远比现在有活力, 而且民间也常常能保留一点正义的声音。
In the pyramid model, the apex is supreme, so constraints on the apex are nearly always beneficial. Jiang Zemin's actions happened to be a constraint on the apex, and Hu Jintao's method of "no折腾" (no pointless disturbances) was also a form of such constraint. During the Hu-Wen period, not only did economic development have much more vitality than now, but civil society often managed to retain some voices of justice.
在江泽民之前,邓小平更是长期成为这样的制约力量, 他们当然都不是参照我们的金字塔模型去制约顶点的, 他们的初心也许和权力制约毫无关系, 恋权恋栈是更大的原因。 但是结果都是形成明、暗两个权力的对峙和平衡, 这也就是从邓小平到胡锦涛的中国经济的黄金时期对照金字塔模型上的变化。 现在这样的情况消失了, 顶点上已经没有什么可以勉强称为制衡的力量, 这个社会当然要更加倒行逆施。
Before Jiang Zemin, Deng Xiaoping was even a long-standing constraining force, Of course, they did not impose such constraints based on our pyramid model. Their original intentions might have had nothing to do with power checks and balances at all; The greater reason is the love for power and position. But the result was always the formation of both explicit and implicit confrontations and balance between powers, This is also the change in China's golden period of economic development from Deng Xiaoping to Hu Jintao compared to our pyramid model. Now such a situation has disappeared, At the apex, there is no longer any force勉强called a check on power, Of course, this society will become even more counterproductive and逆行.
每年中国拐卖妇女儿童数量惊人,有谣言说可能超过百万人。 这个国家已经安装的数亿只摄像头似乎只是用在监控敢于说出真相的政治犯, 对于失踪的妇女儿童,数亿只拥有人脸识别能力的镜头似乎不存在。 政治犯在中国曾被称为反革命,在海外被称为良心犯, 现在被中国人称为神经病或者法轮功或者西方的搅屎棍。 这个自称最安全的国家中, 几乎所有尚有爱心的家长都会亲自接送孩子上学、放学, 这也从另一方面验证拐卖的普及。
Every year, the number of women and children trafficked in China is astonishing, with rumors suggesting it may exceed one million. The hundreds of millions of cameras installed in this country seem to be used only for monitoring political dissidents who dare to speak the truth. For missing women and children, billions of facial recognition-capable lenses appear to not exist. In China, political dissenters were once called counter-revolutionaries overseas, and now they are referred to as mental patients or Falun Gong practitioners, or Western troublemakers. In what claims to be the safest country, almost all parents with any sense of care will personally escort their children to school and back home every day, which also verifies the widespread nature of trafficking from another angle.
不忘初心牢记使命的党不惜一切代价的要大国崛起, 一位位无辜者的内脏被挖出来移植, 这就是彻底毁灭道德的中华民族的伟大复兴, 骗子太多傻子都不够用了, 一个完全灭智灭德的社会毫无廉耻的呈现在世人面前。
A party that never forgets its original aspiration and mission is willing to spare no expense to rise as a great power, one organ after another of innocent people is dug out for transplant, this is the glorious revival of the Chinese nation that completely eradicates morality, liars are so numerous that fools are not enough to counter them, a society completely devoid of intelligence and morals shamelessly presents itself before the world.
多数爱国者对这样明显的社会病症熟视无睹。 难道是弱者已经变得丑陋,所以缺少兴趣吗?
Most patriots turn a blind eye to such obvious social ailments. Is it because the weak have become ugly, thus lacking interest?
按照不谴责弱者的理念来说, 如果我们有条件更宽容的对待麻木的社会, 也许我们自己咒骂小粉红的行为也带着一种谴责弱者的作风, 这十亿小粉红是金字塔制造的,它们被生在塔里, 并没有拒绝的机会。教育系统也不会让正直的人来掌权, 从教育行业巨大的生产线上流出来的小粉红们许多都是自己也不知情的受害者。
According to the idea of not condemning the weak, if we had conditions to be more tolerant towards a numb society, maybe our condemnation of the Little Red Girls also carries a tone of condemning the weak. These billions of Little Red Girls were created by the pyramid; they are born inside it, with no opportunity to refuse. The education system does not allow honest people to take power; many of the Little Red Girls flowing out from the huge production line in the education industry are unaware victims themselves.
在传统中国文化中有所谓师道, 因为道不是道消灭了逻辑, 所以师道也不是师道同样难有理智, 最终就是陷在愚民术中自认文明。 在现代中国教育中,整个教育系统做不到二个步骤中的任何一个: 分辨是非,区分善恶。所以教育系统完全是在造恶。 这个结论真是让人绝望。
In traditional Chinese culture, there is the concept of "Shidao" (the Way of the Teacher). Because the Way does not eliminate logic, thus Shidao cannot be rational either. Ultimately, it ends up陷入愚民术中自认文明, considering itself civilized. In modern Chinese education, the entire educational system fails to accomplish any of the following two steps: distinguishing right from wrong and distinguishing good from evil. Therefore, the educational system is entirely responsible for producing evil. This conclusion is truly令人绝望, desolate.
小粉红们在使用语言的时候天生就会自我审查, 这是适应环境后强化的能力, 所以很难说小粉红们没有智力。
The Little Pink Fortresses naturally engage in self-censorship when using language, this is an ability strengthened through adapting to the environment, so it's difficult to say that the Little Pink Fortresses lack intelligence.
冬季奥运会结束后, 普京如期发动对乌克兰的侵略战争。 莫斯科 和 北京 的配合在次序上是无法掩饰的, 中国已经明显地被绑在侵略者的战车上。
After the Winter Olympics, Putin launched his invasion of Ukraine on schedule. The coordination between Moscow and Beijing is obvious in sequence, and China has clearly been hitched to the invaders' wagon.
2022年02月22日,在六个二的日子里, 俄罗斯联邦议会一致同意授权普京在国外用兵。 Russia Federation Council unanimously authorised Putin
On February 22, 2022, in the six-twos day, the Russian Federation Council unanimously authorized Putin to use military force abroad.
24日,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰。 三路俄军分进合击, 东面从 Donbass 地区攻入, 北面从白俄罗斯边境攻向乌克兰首都基辅, 南面的部队从克里米亚半岛出发, 颇有二战中苏联红军大规模钳形的声势。
On February 24, Russia invaded Ukraine. Three Russian armies advanced from different directions to converge on their target, with the eastern forces entering from the Donbass region, the northern forces advancing towards Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine from the Belarus border, and southern troops launching an attack from the Crimean Peninsula, showing a formidable pincer movement reminiscent of the Soviet Red Army's operations during World War II.
普京 以为打趴下 乌克兰 只是 24 - 48 小时的一个任务。 人们对比俄罗斯和乌克兰的军力发现双方差距至少在纸面参数上都是很大的, 因此乌克兰数日内亡国的可能性也很大。
Putin thought subduing Ukraine would be a task of just 24-48 hours. People compare the military strength between Russia and Ukraine, finding that the disparity is significant on paper, thus making it highly likely for Ukraine to fall within a few days.
欧洲各国的震惊大约也是真的, 因为人们没有想到普京真得这么干了, 一路俄军直扑基辅而去。
The shock in Europe was probably genuine, as no one had expected Putin to really do it, with Russian troops marching straight for Kyiv.
乌克兰和哈萨克都在中亚, 乌在黑海之北,哈在里海之东, 黑海和里海的中间是高加索山脉, 两国都在中亚,都在前苏联领土内, 而中亚的一连串动荡从大范围来说是欧亚大陆上从西欧到东亚的文明梯度上秩序的传递过程, 从小范围来说是俄罗斯试图回复前苏联帝国势力版图的扩张。
Ukraine and Kazakhstan are both in Central Asia, Ukraine is north of the Black Sea, while Kazakhstan is east of the Caspian Sea, Between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea lies the Caucasus Mountains, Both countries are in Central Asia and within the territory of the former Soviet Union, And the series of upheavals in Central Asia on a broader scale is a process of order transmission along the civilization gradient from Western Europe to East Asia across the Eurasian continent, On a smaller scale, it is Russia's attempt to expand its territorial control to match that of the former Soviet empire.
山与海迅速的反复转变对人类社会的影响体现在里海、高加索山脉和黑海之间, 这里的几个小国或者地区:乔治亚、阿赛拜疆、阿美尼亚、车臣, Geogia,Azerbaijan, Amenia, Chechen 有着丰富的语言变化,也各有精彩的历史故事。 最近些年这些地方无一例外的遭遇了战争, 他们的北方是俄罗斯,南方则是土耳其和伊朗, 因此,乌克兰和哈萨克斯坦之间是文化与宗教相互对抗的好战场, 这些国家不平静的局势就是大国较量时压碎被挤在中间的小国的过程。
The rapid alternation between mountains and seas has had a significant impact on human society, evident in the areas between the Caspian Sea, the Caucasus Mountains, and the Black Sea.
Here are several small countries or regions: Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Chechnya.
These places have rich linguistic variations and each has its own fascinating historical stories. In recent years, all of these areas have experienced wars without exception. Their northern neighbor is Russia, while to their south lie Turkey and Iran. Therefore, the cultural and religious conflicts between Ukraine and Kazakhstan serve as a good battlefield for great power rivalry. The unstable situation in these countries reflects the process by which major powers crush small states caught in the middle during their struggles.
乌克兰相比之下不能算小了, 人口约 4400万, 苏联解体后于1991年成为独立的国家, 94 年 乌克兰放弃了上千枚核武器, 从世界第三大军事强国回归无核之地, 并且成为一个中立国。
By comparison, Ukraine is not a small country with a population of approximately 44 million. It became an independent nation in 1991 following the dissolution of the Soviet Union. In 1994, Ukraine gave up thousands of nuclear weapons and returned to being a nuclear-free zone, becoming a neutral state.
回顾一下乌克兰更早期的历史可以发现, 这个国家并不是仅仅在苏联解体后才有的三十年的历史, 乌克兰的首都 Kyiv(Kiev) 也不是远离莫斯科的边远地区, 相反 Kyiv 是黑海北方的城市之母, 历史上 Kyiv 比 Moscow 更早建成。 前面说到的 Yalta 曾经是古希腊航海人登陆的位置, 后来东正教的信仰也是从 Kyiv 北上传到 Moscow 的。 直到 1721 年后俄国从当时的边远地区莫斯科发展壮大成为大帝国后, 乌克兰才逐渐的被神格上升的俄罗斯降格为小俄罗斯, 然后两百年里夹在 Ottoman 和俄罗斯之间受气。
Reviewing Ukraine's earlier history reveals that the country does not just have a thirty-year history since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Kyiv (Kiev), its capital, is not a remote region far from Moscow; rather, it is the mother city of northern Black Sea cities. Historically, Kiev was built before Moscow.
The ancient Greek sailors once landed at Yalta, and later, Orthodox Christianity spread northward from Kiev to Moscow. It wasn't until after 1721, when Russia grew into a great empire from its then remote capital of Moscow, that Ukraine gradually became subordinated by the rising Russian state as Little Russia. For two centuries, it was sandwiched between the Ottoman Empire and Russia, enduring their domination.
在最近一个世纪,1917 年列宁将俄国变为苏联的同时, 当然的强迫乌克兰变成了苏联的一部分: 乌克兰苏维埃社会主义共和国, Ukraine Soviet Socialist Republic. 接着布尔什维克们在乌克兰这个传统的大粮仓里 制造了不止一次惨绝人寡的大饥荒, 四百万人死亡。
In the last century, when Lenin turned Russia into the USSR in 1917, of course, he forcibly incorporated Ukraine as part of it: Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. The Bolsheviks then created不止一次惨绝人寰的大饥荒in this traditional granary of Ukraine, with four million deaths.
乌克兰的地形没有高山但是河流密布,自古就有发达的农业, 乌克兰的小麦产量占全世界 7% , 如果只计算高级小麦则全世界 1/5 的好麦子来自乌克兰。
The terrain of Ukraine lacks high mountains but is characterized by a dense network of rivers, and has traditionally had well-developed agriculture. Ukraine produces about 7% of the world's wheat, and if we consider only high-quality wheat, one-fifth of the best wheat in the world comes from Ukraine.
二战中德军占领过乌克兰, 当时乌克兰人分裂成为三部分:仇德、仇苏、仇恨双方的。 二战后被再次解放的乌克兰回到斯大林的怀抱中,经历了冷战。
During World War II, German troops occupied Ukraine, at which time Ukrainians were divided into three parts: those who hated the Germans, those who hated the Soviets, and those who hated both. After World War II, when Ukraine was again liberated, it returned to Stalin's fold and experienced the Cold War.
苏联解体后独立的乌克兰 寻求加入北约和欧盟的做法一直被俄罗斯反对。
After gaining independence following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Ukraine's efforts to join NATO and the EU have been opposed by Russia.