中文原文 · 中文 + English · History index / 历史目录
2008¶
2008¶
摘要：¶
Summary：¶
金融危机 北京奥运， 中国网络工程师， 翻墙狗洞， 舍得糊涂， 入党， 实名， 计划生育， 历史老侦探， 奥巴马， 超过日本， 逆袭， 金字塔火力部署， 美国司机， 技术折点， 未来灾难， 大脑联网， 阿拉伯之春， 日本地震海啸， 叙利亚内战阿萨德, 难民， 打死本拉登， QQ微信支付宝， {{{1
Financial Crisis Beijing Olympics, Chinese Network Engineers, The Great Firewall, Letting Go with Wisdom, Joining the Party, Real Name Registration, Family Planning, Historical Detective, Obama, Surpass Japan, Reverse Upset, Pyramid Firepower Deployment, American Drivers, Technological Tipping Point, Future Disaster, Brain Networking, Arab Spring, Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami, Syrian Civil War Assad, Refugees, Kill Bin Laden, QQ WeChat Alipay,
2008年初，美国发生了金融危机，影响扩散到全世界。 这一次危机被称为是 1929 年以来最大的一次， 中文称为 次贷危机。它最初起因是银行为低收入人群大量提供了住房贷款， 在这些贷款的基础上又衍生了大量的次级金融产品， 全世界的投资人和金融机构当然都购买了这些产品。 当不良的住房贷款开始大量违约时，人们才发现这是一个未被监管到的领域， 但是此时已经开始了连锁反应。
In early 2008, a financial crisis struck the United States and spread worldwide. This crisis was called the largest since 1929, known in Chinese as the subprime mortgage crisis. It initially began when banks provided a large number of housing loans to low-income individuals, which led to the creation of numerous subprime financial products based on these loans. Investors and financial institutions from around the world naturally purchased these products. It was only when defaulted bad home loans started to pile up that people realized this was an unregulated area, but by then, a chain reaction had already begun.
贷款违约 - 收回住房 - 法院拍卖住房 - 价格暴跌 - 银行坏账 - 银行债务违约 - 更多银行被波及 - 企业投资减少 - 经济萧条...
Loan defaults - repossession of homes - court auctions - price plunges - Bank bad debts - bank debt defaults - more banks affected - reduced corporate investment - Economic recession...
美联储降息，美元利率迅速降到 0 左右， 并且在今后十多年里一直保持低息。
The Fed cuts interest rates, rapidly lowering them to around 0%, and kept them low for more than a dozen years subsequently.
在这个经济危机加速爆发的同时，中国风景独好。
While the economic crisis is accelerating, China stands out.
2008年8月8日， 北京举办奥运会， 同时， 在各国体育选手汇聚中国的时候放松对国际互联网的隔离， 避免他们惊奇的发现自己进入了另一个不同的网络中。
On August 8, 2008, Beijing hosted the Olympics, while at the same time, loosening the isolation on international internet access as foreign athletes gathered in China to avoid their surprise at finding themselves in a different online world.
此时中共隔离互联网的大型项目已经进入第三个阶段， 在网络上修建了长城 ， 阻止真相在中国和互联网之间流动。 从98年的金盾项目开始， 采用的隔离和过滤的技术有： 污染DNS服务、设置IP黑名单、中断网络连接、URL扫描 、 数据包扫描、隔离VPN服务。 配置一组隔离互联网的技术将中国过滤在真实资讯之外， 这些技术没有一个是这群所谓工程师发明的， 但是破坏远比建设容易。猩猩们做得到。
At this point, the large-scale project of the Communist Party of China to isolate the internet has entered its third phase, constructing a Great Wall on the web to prevent the truth from flowing between China and the internet. Starting with the Golden Shield Project in 1998, the isolation and filtering technologies used include: polluting DNS services, setting up IP blacklists, interrupting network connections, URL scanning, packet scanning, and isolating VPN services. Configuring a set of technologies to isolate the internet from reality keeps China filtered out from genuine information. None of these technologies were invented by this group of so-called engineers; but destruction is easier than construction. The apes can do it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Firewall#Blocking_methods https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_censorship_in_China
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Firewall#Blocking_methods https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_censorship_in_China
自由资讯只能用翻墙的方法出入， 建设和维持这一堵高墙的技术和行政人 员很快超过百万人， 他们谋生的方法实际上就是为魔鬼服务。 而从技术上穿透这堵鬼墙需要针对隔离技术在中国境外部署相应的反制技术， 可惜的是， 并没有谁有义务为中国人支付自由资讯的成本。
Free information can only enter and leave through the use of a circumvention method, and the technical and administrative personnel involved in building and maintaining this high wall quickly numbered over one million. Their means of livelihood is essentially serving the devil. And technically penetrating this ghost wall requires deploying corresponding countermeasures abroad for the isolation technology, unfortunately, no one has an obligation to pay the cost of free information for the Chinese.
翻墙是针对长城防火墙的网络词汇， 其实钻洞才是更专业的词汇， tunneling， 像打狗洞一样， 用加密形成的隧道提供自由数据传输。
Climbing the wall is a network term referring to circumventing the Great Firewall,
actually, tunneling is a more professional term.
Like digging a dog hole, it uses encrypted tunnels to provide free data transmission.
中国就像是一个病人在输液， 自由资讯通过细小的输液管一滴一滴的悄悄注入。 从网络结构来看， 中共网禁是一种恶劣的技术， 尽管难于完全隔离网络， 却有效的为暴行撑起保护伞。
China is like a patient receiving an IV drip, with free information slowly seeping in through tiny tubes. From a network structure perspective, the Communist Party's internet restrictions are a恶劣的技术, though it is difficult to fully isolate the network, they effectively provide cover for atrocities.
建墙的结果是墙里人不仅在信息获取方面必然落后， 而且墙里人在社会道德方面也将不可能达到人类文明的平均线。 受奴役的愚民同时也是泯灭良知的人口， 生于此地，做人不易，原理不再重复细述。
The result of building a wall is that those inside the wall will inevitably be behind in information acquisition, and they will also fail to reach the average level of human civilization in terms of social morality. Slaves and ignorant people are also populations who have lost their conscience, living here makes being human difficult, and I will not repeat the principles in detail.
北京奥运是奥运史上最昂贵的运动会， 中国和苏联操办的奥运当然是最有钱的奥运， 一群政治官员在高度隔离的会议室里安排一群又一群运动员们去到形状各异的大型建筑中跑跑跳跳。
The Beijing Olympics were the most expensive games in Olympic history, the Olympics hosted by China and the Soviet Union naturally became the richest Olympics. A group of political officials arranged for a swarm of athletes to run and jump in various large buildings in highly isolated conference rooms.
钱多人傻快来。
Money talks, fools walk.
中国改革开放后， 伙食改善了， 生活提高了。 仓廩实而知礼节， 五千年的文明喂了狗， 活着就好。 先发财再做人， 先做人再做事， 这两种次序有什 么区别？ 古老的智慧沦落到用这样的格言来总结：难得糊涂。 真是人比神还聪明， 装糊涂还要提醒自己：难得。
After China's reform and opening up, dining improved, life got better. With the granaries full, one knows propriety, Five thousand years of civilization has been fed to dogs; just live well. Make money first before being a person, be a person before doing things, What difference does this order make? Ancient wisdom has declined to such sayings: It's hard to be ambiguous. Truly people are smarter than gods, even pretending to be ambiguous requires reminding oneself: It's hard.
舍得， 是两个动词构成的名词， 可以做动词使用， 动作的目标是：得。
舍得 is a noun made up of two verbs, and it can also be used as a verb. The action's goal is: 得.
得失利害中， 唯一的方向是：爬上金字塔。
In matters of gain and loss, the only direction is to climb to the top of the pyramid.
位置决定视野。地位、金钱、权势、荣誉和鲜美的人类肉体都在金字塔上。
Location determines perspective. Status, wealth, power, honor, and the finest of human flesh are all atop the pyramid.
性格决定命运， 这就是中文被扭曲的性格和命运， 一种必须说谎的文字系统， 一群穿上衣服像阿Q， 脱了衣服像猩猩的人。
Personality determines destiny, which is the essence of this twisted system of Chinese characters and destiny, a文字 system that necessitates lying, a group of people who dress like Ah Q but strip down to reveal themselves as apes.
加入共产党其实不是一件光荣的事情， 入党的人要说自己没有杀人， 那些被杀的人却是已经死了， 你可以找到一万个理由证明你不是杀人犯， 却有数千万具尸体丢在贵党的垃圾堆里。 这是一个过去杀人如麻， 现在独霸专政的组织， 它正在强奸的不仅仅是人， 而且是做为一门语言的中文。
Joining the Communist Party is not a glorious thing. People who join the party say they have never killed, but those who were killed are already dead. You can find a thousand reasons to prove you are not a murderer, yet millions of corpses lie in your party's garbage heap. This is an organization that has massacred in the past and now monopolizes dictatorship. It is not only raping people but also the Chinese language as a means of communication.
这个时候国家鼓励实名制， 提倡诚信。
At this time, the country encouraged real-name systems and advocated for integrity.
这好像是在开玩笑， 在没有神的国度， 杀人灭口的统治中， 谎言最诚实。
It seems like a joke. In a kingdom without gods, where murder silences the mouth, lies are the most honest.
2008年9月14日，美国知名有着158年历史的 雷曼兄弟 银行提出了破产申请。 金融危机继续发爆发，在两周后美国财政部长 和议会领袖共同宣布 7000亿美元救市计划。
On September 14, 2008, the American bank Lehman Brothers, with a history of 158 years, filed for bankruptcy. The financial crisis continued to explode. Two weeks later, the U.S. Treasury Secretary and congressional leaders jointly announced a $700 billion bailout plan.
11月， 中国国务院总理 温家宝 宣布中国将投入四万亿人民币应对全球金融危机， 这一笔投入相当于近 6000 亿美元，也受到美国金融界欢迎。 资金计划将投入中国的工业、科技和基础建设， 但是后来大部分流去了房地产。
In November, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao announced that China would invest 4 trillion yuan to counter the global financial crisis. This amount was equivalent to nearly $600 billion and was welcomed by the U.S. financial community. The funds were planned to be invested in China's industries, technology, and infrastructure. However, a large portion of it later went into real estate.
中国经济逐渐转向高债务，高杠杆，透支未来的模式， 这似乎也是一种必然的，是这个所谓经济体在现实中的最优选择。
The Chinese economy gradually shifts to a model of high debt and leverage, compromising future prospects, and this seems to be inevitable, perhaps the optimal choice for such an economy in reality.
2008年11月， G20会议在美国华盛顿举行。
这个1999年开始年度举行的会议 ，
逐渐演化成为20国首脑的见面会，
国家领导们在此有机会讨论其它国际组 织中不易解决的问题。
这20个国家汇集了全球90%的生产力和碳排放量， 80%的贸易，
2/3的人口， 一半的土地。
当运动员在奥运会赛场竞技的同 时，
国家领导们渐渐无法回避类似的赛场，
就算是完全控制了国内的媒体，
在峰会上也可能必须面对不受控制的摄影机，
尽管带着最强的保安和奢华的国宾车队。
It's as if to say: Come on, anyone can be President of the United States.
计划生育继续推行， 什么是操纵生死的权力？ 让你生， 你才可以生， 不让你生， 你就下地狱。 计划生育的成果是少生了三亿人， 多了一亿独生子女。 有多少人在从事计划生育工作？ 这也许是最爱国的群体之一， 覆盖到村庄街道， 这数以百万计算的爱国者恰好就是随时可以把胚胎从孕妇体内拖出来的一群人。
This is at least an attitude: equality for all. It is also a form of language that speaks more convincingly than historical books.
爱国本来可以算是褒义词， 硬是被一帮畜生给糟蹋了。
Patriotism used to be a commendatory term, but it has been ruined by a bunch of beasts.
爱国是指支持国家，对抗敌人的行为。 敌人是指侵略者和诽谤者。 因此爱国的本意是好的。 然而中央集权的统治者正是窃国者， 无法被人类语言和逻辑检测的政治制度是兽性时代的遗迹， 秦始皇之后的中国是被来自地狱的金字塔镇压到人性退化的文明灰烬， 始皇之后百代皆行秦制，是不是说一百代中国人要被秦制摧残？
Monkeys were ecstatic.
什么样的人类才能在这样漫长的折辱中保持人性？
What kind of humans can preserve their humanity in such a long and humiliating process?
被计划的人口是畸形的人口。 发展经济解决一切问题， 而且现在总算是生活在和平中。
Planned populations are distorted populations. Economic development solves all problems, and we are finally living in peace.
请问大规模的虐杀不会发生了吗？
Will the large-scale mass killings not happen anymore?
如果问题不存在的话， 答案也不存在。
If the problem does not exist, neither does the answer.
按照历史上老侦探的经验， 在连环凶杀案中， 如果罪犯没有伏法， 凶杀自然会继续。 互联网这种新玩意儿能不能中止这种历史连环凶杀案的剧情发展呢？ 这个问题， 慈禧太后可能更清楚。 正常人， 谁会想这种问题。
According to the experience of old detectives in history, in a series of murders, if the criminal is not brought to justice, the killings will naturally continue. Can this newfangled internet stop the progression of such historical serial killings? This question, Empress Dowager Cixi might know better. Most people wouldn't ponder such matters.
平静的生活足以珍惜。 就算历史还有未解的问题， 希望它们就像巨大的鲸鱼一样， 平静的露出水面， 再平静的离开。
A peaceful life is worth cherishing.
Even if history has unsolved questions,
I hope they are like giant whales,
quietly surfacing,
and quietly leaving again.
和虚构的故事不同， 真实的世界悬念过多了， 需要做的是：减少悬念。
Unlike fictional stories, the real world has too many suspenseful elements. What needs to be done is: reduce the suspense.
08年12 月9日， 第一批 303 位中国人签署了 08 宪章， 随后其中至少70人被警察传讯、审问和抓捕， 其中包括一年后被捕两年后得到诺贝尔和平奖的刘晓波。刘晓波写过不少文章， 然而中国人对刘晓波了解最多的就是他曾经说过中国至少需要被殖民三百年。
On December 9, 2008, 303 Chinese people signed the Charter 08. Subsequently, at least 70 of them were summoned, questioned, and detained by the police, including Liu Xiaobo, who was arrested a year later and won the Nobel Peace Prize two years later. Liu Xiaobo wrote many articles, but what Chinese people know best about him is that he once said China needs to be colonized for at least three hundred years.
这里的人们即可以偷来任何人的思想完美的证明自己的聪明， 也可以成功的批判任何人无疑的证明其恶臭。 任何人，比如 XYZ 虽然说过话， 但是也放过屁，他、她、它当然是臭的。
People can steal anyone's thoughts to perfectly prove their own cleverness, and successfully criticize anyone without doubt to prove their stench. Anyone, like XYZ, who has spoken, has also let out a fart; he, she, or it is undoubtedly stinky.
2009年的又一场美国大选， 奥巴马当选， 成为美国首位非白人总统。这也是奇怪的一次选举， 另一候选人是一位女人， 希拉里， 她是前总统的夫人。 这样的竞选组合历史上没有出现过， 无论选举结果如何， 都已经注定改写历史。
The 2009 U.S. election, where Obama was elected, becoming the first non-white president of the United States. This was also a strange election, with another candidate being a woman, Hillary, who was the former president's wife. Such a combination of candidates in a presidential race had never been seen before, and regardless of the election outcome, it was destined to rewrite history.
或者服从非洲人的领导， 或者服从女人的领导。
Or submit to the leadership of Africans, or submit to the leadership of women.
就好像是在说：来吧， 没有什么人不能当美国总统。
It's kind of like saying: Come on, anyone can be the President of the United States.
这至少是个态度：众生平等。 这也是一种行为语言， 比历史书更有说服力。
This at least shows an attitude: treating all beings equally. It is also a form of behavioral language, more convincing than history books.
同年， 中国GDP超过日本。5.2万亿美元， 官方数据有较大水份。 但从GDP来说， 中国成为世界第二， 需要仰视的只剩下美国， 具备了挑战最强的资格， 这两只国家将有机会直接交手。
In the same year, China's GDP surpassed Japan at $5.2 trillion. Official data contains significant inaccuracies. But from a GDP perspective, China became the world's second-largest economy, with only the United States left to look up to, giving it the qualifications to challenge the strongest player. These two countries will have the opportunity to face each other directly.
猩猩们激动不已。
The apes were extremely excited.
历史上有不少弱势逆袭的例子， 比如满清入关、日俄战争。 现在的机会当然会令前朝遗老们激动不已， 可是请注意调整时差， 和明末清末那些时候不同， 今天的地球已经变得太小了， 而且也并没有一个皇帝正在统治这个世界， 尽管， 逆袭仍然是弱者生存的意义之一。
History has seen many underdog uprisings, such as the Qing's entry into the关隘 and the Russo-Japanese War. Now, of course, this opportunity would excite former dynasty elders. But please adjust for the time difference, and unlike in the Ming and Qing dynasties, today’s world is much smaller. Moreover, there is no longer a monarch ruling this world. Despite that, uprising remains one of the significances of survival for the weak.
一群美国孩子将要面对这一座金字塔。 中国的问题远比这群孩子们想像的顽固久远， 命运无法回避。在金字塔上如同在一战的战场上， 战壕碉堡机枪铁丝网， 在中国的政治战场中生殖关系和权力梯队形成交叉火力部署， 战场地图就是绝密， 百千万人爬行其中， 在经济中组成地球上最大的利益集团， 银行和跨国公司静静的排序， 硝烟尚未升起， 等待着开火吧。
A group of American children will face this pyramid. The issues in China are far more stubborn and enduring than these children can imagine, destiny cannot be avoided. On the pyramid, like on the battlefield of World War I, trenches, fortifications, machine guns, barbed wire, in China's political battlefield, reproductive relationships and power hierarchies form crossfire deployments, battlefield maps are top secret; millions, even billions, crawl through them. In the economy, they constitute the world's largest interest group, banks and multinational companies quietly line up, smoke has not yet risen, waiting to be fired.
在这个战场边上补充说明一下： 我们研究的金字塔是挑战世界秩序的国家结构， 不是什么某一个大公司或者大集团， 不是玩具店里的玩具金字塔模型， 就算是人数达到十万人的大型公司也不能算做我们正在研究的金字塔。 中国这一座金字塔的历史超过了二千年， 因此金字塔问题可能是无法被轻易研究清楚的， 如果说什么每个人都会生存在某个金字塔中，适应才能生存等等, 那么我们研究的问题和你无关， 我们研究的是塔内生物无法逃避也不敢研究的结构， 这一种社会结构在农业化、工业化和全球化的漫长历史中奴役愚民和杀害良善。
On the side of this battlefield, let me add a few more remarks: The pyramids we are studying challenge the world order in terms of national structure, not some large company or conglomerate, nor the toy pyramid models found in toy stores, and even a company with one hundred thousand employees does not qualify as what we are researching. China's pyramid has a history exceeding two millennia, thus making the study of pyramid issues complex and difficult to fully understand. If it is said that everyone will exist within some pyramid, adapting to survive, etc., then our research may be irrelevant to you. We are studying the structure that beings inside the tower cannot escape or dare to investigate, a social structure that has enslaved the common people and harmed the virtuous over the long history of agriculturalization, industrialization, and globalization.
半导体芯片重建了这个世界之后， 软件再次重构这个世界， 人们重新尝试发明人工智能， 上一次围绕 LISP 编程语言引发的人工智能开发未能成功， 这一次， 网络和传感器的普及让机器们再次尝试获得智能， 开发自动行驶的机器和提供人工智能的医疗服务。 互联网汇集了大量的数据， 包括文字图片声音和几乎一切。 生物技术使得人类更了解自己， 提供更好的治疗， 甚至改良基因。移动通讯让人们随时掌握资讯， 在手中把握着细腻而且绚丽的屏幕， 让十亿人连接在同一个网络中。
After semiconductor chips reconstructed the world,
software once again restructured it, and people restarted their attempts at inventing artificial intelligence.
Last time, the development of AI centered around the LISP programming language failed to succeed,
this time, the widespread use of networks and sensors enabled machines to attempt gaining intelligence again,
developing self-driving machines and providing AI-based medical services.
The internet aggregated vast amounts of data, including text, images, sounds, and virtually everything.
Biotechnology allowed humans to better understand themselves, offering better treatments,
even enhancing their genes. Mobile communications kept people updated with information at all times,
holding delicate yet vivid screens in their hands,
connecting billions of people on the same network.
知识传播让人们能够知道一切， 每个人都变得知识渊博， 好像一切都在手中， 就是没有察觉自己身处迷宫中。 置身在一张大网中， 无处可逃。
The spread of knowledge made everyone knowledgeable, as if everything was within reach, but they were unaware that they were trapped in a maze.
在美国的高速公路上， 货柜车司机也不过就是开车， 一天驾驶10个小时， 路旁的景色不断退去， 跟随延伸的路面穿过跳转的信号灯， 车流中轮胎滚过路面的声音伴随着发动机的低音， 驾驶舱遮挡着风雨， 在方向盘后面提供一个谋生的座椅， 一天接着一天的开车换取一般般的收入， 却是在完全由现代人类才能的制造的车箱内生存。 他们绝不是劳动阶级中的底层， 就在同一个国家， 数百万的非法劳工、 长期的临时雇工和失业人口的生存环境远比他 们艰难。 就算这是一份枯燥的工作， 以后也可能被AI自动驾驶替代， 数百万人将转入新的职业。
On the highways of America, truck drivers merely operate their vehicles, driving for 10 hours a day as landscapes fade by the roadside, following an extending road through跳跃的信号灯， amongst the hum of engines and the rolling sound of tires on pavement, a cabin shielding them from rain and wind provides a means to earn a living behind the wheel, swapping one day after another of driving for mediocre income, but within a vehicle manufactured by modern humans. They are far from the lowest rung of the labor class; in the same country, millions of undocumented workers, long-term temporary employees, and unemployed people face even more challenging circumstances. Even if this is a枯燥的工作， and may be replaced by AI autonomous driving in the future, millions will shift to new professions.
高技术行业同样面对流动的环境， 去年得到投资的公司今年可能需要解散， 员工们如食尽鸟散、各寻前程。
The high-tech industry also faces a fluid environment, companies that received investment last year may need to dissolve this year, leaving employees to seek their own futures.
技术能否改变一切？
Can technology change everything?
技术发展可能造成世界秩序的转折点， 一旦走过转折点， 这个世界就会被彻底改变， 再无法回头， 一切将被强制升级。 农业化和工业化就是这样的转折点， 一旦发生， 就必须进入下一个阶段。
Technological advancements could mark a turning point for the world order. Once passed, the world would be transformed irrevocably and forced to upgrade.
技术折点这个外来词汇简单的说， 就是出现了能翻天的技术。 我们不确定下一个翻天的技术是什么， 或者由什么技术发明带来。 更有可能这样的技术已经出现并且正在改变我们的世界。
The term "technological singularity" simply refers to the emergence of game-changing technologies. We are uncertain about what the next game-changing technology will be or which technological invention will bring it. It is more likely that such a technology has already emerged and is changing our world.
每次技术翻天的过程并不愉快。 回顾农业化和工业化过程， 每一次生产力的飞跃， 都让人类陷入黑暗。痛苦中， 被猩猩抓住， 在挣扎中承受无数死亡， 只有野兽才能在这个过程中享受狂欢。 每一次技术翻天的转折中， 人类只是能勉强摆脱厄运罢了。
The process of technological upheaval is not pleasant. Looking back at the agricultural and industrial processes, every leap in productivity has plunged humanity into darkness. In pain, grabbed by gorillas, enduring countless deaths in struggle, only beasts can revel during this process. In each turning point of technological upheaval, humans barely manage to escape their misfortune.
比如，农业化人口被国家捕捉， 经历了几千年的失落， 在暴政中求生。 工业化后迅速的进入世界大战， 之后在冷战对峙中求取和平。
For example, the agricultural population was captured by the state, experiencing millennia of loss, seeking survival under tyranny. After rapid entry into world wars following industrialization, it sought peace during the Cold War standoff.
参照历史， 下一个翻天技术将带来的不仅仅是飞跃和冲浪的感觉， 还可能同样会有大量的痛苦。 不管它是硬件技术还是软件技术， 不管它是生物技术还是智能技术。
Referring to history, the next disruptive technology will bring more than just a leap and a feeling of surfing. It may also entail significant pain. Whether it is hardware technology or software technology, whether it is biotechnology or intelligent technology.
在未来可能的灾难中， 经济崩溃、 太阳喷发、 气候变化、地震海啸、 彗星 撞击、瘟疫爆发（爱滋萨斯埃博拉）、恐怖袭击、战争、难民、 核战争、 工业事故、化学品泄漏核废料扩散、 基因食品， 人种突变、 抗生素失效， 等等， 有太多可能性。 (当时谁能想到2019年中共病毒就爆发了？）
Possible future disasters included economic collapse, solar flares, climate change, earthquakes, tsunamis, comet impacts, pandemics (AIDS, Ebola), terrorism, wars, refugees, nuclear wars, industrial accidents, chemical leaks, radioactive waste dispersion, genetically modified foods, human mutations, antibiotic resistance, and much more.
设想， 一种技术突然将所有人的大脑活动连网在一起， 这样的技术会让很多人一夜之间失去独立意识。 大脑被加装接口， 脑电波被扫描， 思想被破译， 所有人的意识被联网在一起。 之后， 新的意识可能注入。
Imagine a technology suddenly connecting everyone's brain activity, such a technology could make many lose their sense of独立意识 overnight. The brains are fitted with interfaces, brainwaves are scanned, thoughts are deciphered, and everyone's consciousness is linked together. Afterwards, new consciousness might be injected.
大脑联网可能不是唯一的翻天技术， 但是虐待狂最爱这种技术了， 有什么比在大脑中直接植入痛苦更痛的方法呢？ 有什么能比直接注入奴隶意识更快的方法得到大量奴隶？
Brain networking might not be the only game-changer, but sadists love this technology the most. What could be more painful than directly implanting agony into someone's brain? And what method could provide a greater number of slaves faster than directly injecting slave-mindedness?
能有什么技术上的充分准备可以让人们面对类似的技术转折呢？
What technical preparations could equip people to face similar technological transformations?
给每一个人加装通讯接口， 扫描每一颗大脑， 清除每一份不纯洁的思想。 脑联网这样的技术会让统治者欣喜若狂， 让人类直接进入共产主义， 分享同样的喜悦、同样的思想、 同样的意识、分享所有的肉体。如果拒绝， 恐怕就是无尽的痛苦无可抗拒的注入。
Install communication interfaces for everyone, scan every brain, Clear every impure thought. Such technology as the BrainNet would delight rulers, Bringing humans directly into communism, sharing the same joy, thoughts, Consciousness, and all matter. If one refuses, Perhaps endless pain will irresistibly flow in.
2010年起， 多个阿拉伯国家发生了反政府的抗议和起义， 人们利用互联网组织游行和集会， 反抗专制， 突尼西亚、巴林、埃及、摩洛哥、科威特、沙特阿拉伯、叙利亚， 利比亚、伊拉克等一系统反抗事件被称为阿拉伯之春。
Since 2010, multiple Arab countries have witnessed anti-government protests and uprisings, people used the internet to organize rallies and gatherings, resisting authoritarianism. In Tunisia, Bahrain, Egypt, Morocco, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Libya, Iraq, and a series of反抗 events were collectively referred to as the Arab Spring.
此时，中国太阳能产业产能过剩， 遭遇欧美抵制。太阳能发电成本降至1元1度电， 仍然高过传统发电技术。中国电力垄断经营， 但是电价并没有脱离世界平均水平， 汽油价格已经高得离奇了。
Currently, the Chinese solar industry is suffering from overcapacity and facing resistance from Europe and America. The cost of solar electricity has dropped to 1 yuan per kilowatt-hour, still higher than traditional power generation technologies. China's power sector is monopolized, but electricity prices have not deviated significantly from the global average. Gasoline prices are already astronomical.
2011年3月， 日本9级地震， 随后海啸， 1.5万人死亡。 灾区的核电站经受了巨大的考验， 海水刷过了整座电站， 高质量的电站建筑和完善的工程管理让人们了解日本品质的承受力， 现代社会承受自然灾害的能力完全取决于：人的素质。
In March 2011, a 9.0 magnitude earthquake struck Japan, followed by a tsunami, resulting in the deaths of 15,000 people. The nuclear power plant in the affected area withstood enormous考验, with seawater flooding the entire facility, High-quality plant construction and robust engineering management allowed people to understand the resilience of Japanese standards, Modern society's ability to withstand natural disasters completely depends on: human quality.
如果可以计算信息总量， 日文容纳的信息量应该早已经超过了国文。
If information volume could be calculated, the number of information units in Japanese should have already surpassed that of Chinese.
这一年日本人口1.27亿， 其中大约有3万人死于自杀， 从80年代起日本自杀人数一直很缓慢的下降。 这一年全世界超过60万人成功自杀， 尝试自杀的人数应该超过1千万人。 自杀比爱滋病毒杀人更多， 大约排名第十。 在所有死亡原因中， 最大的原因是心血管疾病和癌症， 比自杀多出十到二十倍。
This year, Japan's population was 127 million, with approximately 30,000 people dying from suicide. Since the 1980s, the number of suicides in Japan has been slowly decreasing. That year, more than 600,000 people worldwide successfully committed suicide, and the number of attempted suicides was likely over 10 million. Suicide kills more people than HIV/AIDS and ranks approximately tenth among causes of death. Among all causes of death, the leading cause is cardiovascular disease and cancer, which are ten to twenty times more common than suicide.
2011年3月， 叙利亚内战爆发， 总统阿萨德顽强战斗， 他继承父亲的权力宝座， 他的背后是一个庞大的利益集团， 叛军的胜利将会成为他们的末日。 总统不是一个人在战斗， 他的身后有军人、律师、医生、官员、记者、 商人、 家庭主妇等等数百万人， 他们决心为自己的命运而战斗。 不管需要使用什么手段， 不论是向贫民区丢汽油桶炸弹还是发射化学武器。
Assad spoke English and French, allowing him to debate with journalists. Russia, the United States, Iran, Israel, Turkey, and terrorist groups were all involved in this conflict. Despite NATO's consistent ideology of human rights, freedom, and democracy, it failed in regional conflicts, leaving Libya to fall into inevitable civil war.
阿萨德会讲英语和法语， 可以同记者辩论。 俄罗斯、美国、伊朗、以色列、 土耳其等国还有恐怖组织纷纷卷入这一地区冲突。 阿萨德不仅有战斗的理由， 而且有足够的武器和盟友的支援， 从某种意义上来说， 他是个很负责任的总统。 同时， 更多难民从这个国家四处逃散， 和来自非洲亚洲的偷渡客一起涌入欧洲。
Killing a dictator but letting him go was akin to leaving a mess that could not be avoided. The chaotic government left behind and the societal turmoil underscored the failure.
地球总人口保持着每12年增加10亿人的速度在增长。 人口被国家分隔，然而投资、科技、资讯却都很容易穿越国境。 或者说在全球化的同时，工作机会明显的被国界切断， 不仅落后国家的居民难于前往先进国家工作， 而且反过来，先进国家的工人也同样需要签证才可以前往落后国家工作。 这个全球化中人们视若无睹的矛盾也许将会开始挑战全球化体系。
The global population is growing at a rate of adding one billion people every 12 years. Populations are divided by countries, yet investment, technology, and information can easily cross borders. Or, while globalization is taking place, job opportunities are clearly cut off by national boundaries. Not only do residents of less developed countries find it difficult to work in advanced nations, but workers from advanced countries also need visas to work in less developed nations. This contradiction often overlooked during globalization may begin to challenge the global system.
没有哪个国家敢于完全开放边境。 除非能够为全人类提供食物和住房， 也许在未来人们可以集中大量的能源和技术， 在一团海水中生长菌类、藻类， 合成蛋白质， 最终生产各种食物， 在一团海水中制造足够多的食品供应整个大陆， 未来应该有人有可能得到这样的能力， 但不是现在。
No country dares to fully open its borders. Unless it can provide food and housing for all of humanity, Perhaps in the future, people could concentrate large amounts of energy and technology, Growing fungi and algae in a body of seawater to synthesize proteins, ultimately producing various types of food, Generating enough food to supply an entire continent in a single body of seawater. In the future, someone might have such capabilities, But not now.
阻止逃亡的不再仅仅是沙漠和高山。 难民在机场或者车站不断的中转， 悄悄走在一群群旅客中， 不断的走进入口， 走出出口。逃亡的路上没有老虎、狮子和狼群， 抓住逃亡者的是一群国家， 一群群警察、移民官员和记者。
Escaping is no longer blocked by deserts and high mountains. Refugees constantly transfer at airports or stations, traveling among crowds of passengers, entering and exiting doors. There are no tigers, lions, or wolves on the path to escape. Those who capture the escapers are a group of countries, a multitude of police officers, immigration officials, and journalists.
地狱存在， 这让人们感觉幸福。
Hell exists, which makes people feel happy.
2011年5月， 美国特种部队在巴勒斯坦打死了911事件的罪魁， 本拉登。 然后， 直接就为他举行了立即的海葬。 这样对待一位世界名人很是草率， 在超过十年的跨国跨海跨洲军事行动之后， 难道不能多花几天的时间验尸吗？
In May 2011, US special forces killed Osama bin Laden, the mastermind of the 9/11 attacks, in Pakistan.
Then, he was immediately given a sea burial.
Treating a world figure so cavalierly is rather hasty. After more than a decade of multinational and跨海跨洲 military operations, couldn't they have spent a few extra days performing an autopsy?
时任美国总统奥巴马尽管不是白人， 他的政治行为却像是一位白人保守主义者。 人们曾经误以为如果一个总统得到了黑人的选票， 他就会代表黑人压迫白人。 然而逻辑学上却无法如此推断， 因为在实际上任何一个候选人都需要面对全部选票。 他要面对整个选举过程， 在这个过程中， 整个社会得到思考的机会。而从选民的角度来说， 甚至放弃投票也是一种态度表达， 从而使选举过程成为决策汇集的过程。
Former U.S. President Obama, despite not being a white person, acted politically like a conservative white person. People once believed that if a president received black votes, he would represent blacks to oppress whites. However, such an inference is logically invalid, as any candidate must face all the ballots in reality. He needs to address the entire electoral process, during which the whole society gets a chance for reflection. From the perspective of voters, even not voting can be a form of expression, making the electoral process a process of collecting decisions.
奥巴马执政期间， 美军在中东的撤离显得混乱， 让明显更强悍的恐怖组织ISIS(IS/ISIL)随后崛起在美军身后， 犯下的暴行让人惊叹。 伊斯兰民兵一边开枪一边大喊着：Alla Hu Akbar， 真主万能。 占领了伊拉克和叙利亚 的大片土地， 大量难民涌向欧洲， 他们也在喊：Allah Huakbar。 安拉啊，喝吧！
The withdrawal of U.S. forces from the Middle East was chaotic and allowed for the rise of ISIS (IS/ISIL) with a more formidable terrorist organization behind it. Islamic militants shouted "Allahu Akbar" while shooting. They seized much land in Iraq and Syria, flooding Europe with refugees who also yelled “Allah Huakbar.”
奥巴马没有犯什么错， 这恐怕就是最大的错。 美欧都因为他的无作为陷入被动。
Obama didn't make any mistakes, and that might be the biggest mistake. Both the US and Europe have found themselves in a passive position due to his inaction.
在近几位美国总统中，老布什帮助 科威特 打退 伊拉克的侵略时， 当时是得到联合国决议支持的。小布什 因为 911 恐怖袭击而发动反恐战争时， 是应用 北约组织 的联合防御条款 开始行动的，但是没有得到联合国决议支持。 也就是说联合国的功能是有限而且勉强的。
In recent U.S. administrations, Bush Sr.'s support for Kuwait against Iraq's invasion had UN backing. Bush Jr.’s counter-terrorism war after 9/11 began under NATO’s collective defense clause without UN approval. This showed the limited and hesitant role of the United Nations.
更大的国际事务矛盾是：主权 与 人权的矛盾。 当今国际关系的准则是主权大于 人权， 这其实和美欧政治强调的人权是冲突的。 尊重主权 本身就意味着承认了 集权国家对内部人民的人权剥夺。
The larger international dispute was between sovereignty and human rights. The current standard favored sovereignty over human rights, conflicting with Western emphasis on human rights. Respecting sovereignty inherently meant accepting human rights violations by centralized states.
2011年 10月，北非国家 利比亚 的领袖 卡扎非 的车队被 北约 成功空袭， 卡扎非 落入反抗军手中，很快死亡。 在这一串事件中，法国不仅推动了联合国， 而且推动了 北约 施加军事行动。 两年之后 利比亚 爆发第二次内战。 北约 相比 联合国 有更一致的意识形态和价值观，人权、自由、民主。 但是在该地区冲突中都显得失败，留下 利比亚 进入无法避免的内战。 打死了一个暴君，却又放手离去， 留下了当地混乱的政府和内战的社会。
In October 2011, NATO successfully bombed Gaddafi's convoy in Libya, leading to his capture and death soon after. France pushed for both the UN and NATO military actions. Two years later, a second civil war broke out in Libya as NATO failed to achieve its goals. Killing one dictator and leaving behind chaos underscored NATO’s failure.
主权 与 人权的矛盾是对现有国际关系的一大挑战。 这使得美欧、北约成员国的政治主张显得很虚伪， 一方面在讲人权，一方面又漠视暴政的主权国家对人权的残害。 讲人权时总是大义凛然， 同时却无时无刻不以尊重主权为借口回避拯救生命的任务。 自由市场和国际贸易不需要护照和鉴证， 然而人权迫害落在任何一个人自由身上时， TA 想要逃亡时就必须要有护照和鉴证， 任何政治口号都抵不过一个小本子和上面的印章痕迹。
The contradiction between sovereignty and human rights is a significant challenge to the current international relations. This makes the political assertions of the US, Europe, and NATO countries appear very hollow, as they speak of human rights while ignoring the atrocities committed by sovereign states against human rights. When discussing human rights, they are always righteous, yet at all times use respect for sovereignty as an excuse to avoid fulfilling the task of saving lives. Free markets and international trade do not require passports or authentication, but when human rights abuses fall upon any individual's freedom, they must have a passport and authentication to flee, and no political slogan can outweigh a small booklet and the stamp marks on it.
现有的国际金融阶层在全球化格局中获利， 它们不愿意放弃全球化。 所谓的人权、自由和民主的口号中再加入了性别平等、 多元文化，环境保护和新能源等等政治正确的热词和大词， 却无视赤裸裸的全球化的主权对人权的践踏。 美欧日韩精英阶层闭口不提的现实是一个代理奴隶制的主权国家集合， 从G7G20 到全世界就是一群群吸血鬼在大大小小的主权金字塔上举行血宴， 中国恰好是其中最大的一座金字塔而已， 这样的情况也许只有未来的核大战可以为之提供一个终止。
The current international financial elite benefits from the globalization pattern and is reluctant to abandon it. Human rights, freedom, and democracy have been joined by gender equality, multiculturalism, environmental protection, and new energy—politically correct buzzwords and grand words—but they ignore the naked sovereignty that tramples on human rights under globalization. The reality that American, European, Japanese, and South Korean elites are unwilling to mention is a collection of sovereign states acting as proxies for slavery. From G7 to G20, and across the globe, it's like a bunch of vampires feasting on the sovereignty pyramid at all levels, China happens to be the largest pyramid in this arrangement. Perhaps only a future nuclear war could provide an end to such a situation.
现实就是如此，目前，任何人如果想要保住自己小小的人权， 最快的方法是去北约国家，进一步应该去到英语国家， 美英加澳纽，这里的政权相对的尊重国内的人权。
Reality is as it stands. Currently, if anyone wishes to safeguard their limited human rights, the fastest way is to go to a NATO country. Further on, one should consider English-speaking countries—such as the US, UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand—where the governments generally respect human rights within their borders.
用人权排序语言，作者猜测目前的次序是： 英语、日语、拉丁语系... 中文应该是倒数第一。
Using human rights ranking language, the author guesses that the current order is: English, Japanese, Indo-European languages... and Chinese should be last.
但是中国经济好、市场大。
But China's economy is strong and its market is large.
2011年的中国， 微信平台开始继承QQ的流行度成为巨大的即时通讯平台。 中国电信、移动、网通早已经成为巨大的系统， 可以令十亿人同时在线。 华为中兴已经挤身到世界最大的通讯设备供应商之列， 为电信运营商供应数据交换设备。 人们不知道来于自己的网络数据流去了哪里， 不懂， 也不关心。 现在人们不仅仅吃饱吃好了， 而且想要有房有车。 而商业网络的重心从电脑屏幕转向手机屏幕， 腾讯、百度、阿里巴巴纷纷抢 滩移动互联市场， 小米OPPO等手机制造公司迅速崛起。 爱立信、诺基亚的手机已经成为历史， 而中石油、中石化、中国电力、 中国铁路都早已经是全世界公司中的巨无霸。
In China in 2011, the WeChat platform began to inherit the popularity of QQ and became a massive instant messaging platform. China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Netcom had already become huge systems, enabling hundreds of millions of people to be online simultaneously. Huawei and ZTE had risen to among the world's largest communications equipment suppliers, providing data exchange devices for telecom operators. People did not know where their network data streams went; they didn't understand, nor did they care. Nowadays, people are not only well-fed but also want to own houses and cars. And the center of commercial networks shifted from computer screens to smartphone screens, with Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba competing for the mobile internet market, while companies like Xiaomi and OPPO rapidly rose to prominence. Ericsson and Nokia phones have become history, and PetroChina, Sinopec, State Grid Corporation of China, and China Railway Corp. are already giants among global companies.
这时候， 更多有钱的中共人出国旅游， 他们发现办理鉴证蛮困难， 整个世界仿佛都不欢迎中国人。 自由的逃亡的原始人不知道什么时候起人们需要鉴证才能流浪？ 但是如果有权有钱， 什么签证都可以搞到， 因此共产党满世界跑。 这形成了人类史中最缺德的一个现象： 逃离极权的人们正是极权的拥护者。
Now, more wealthy Chinese people are traveling abroad for tourism. They find the process of obtaining visas rather challenging and feel that the whole world seems to be unwelcoming to Chinese people. The original escaped freedom seekers wonder when it became necessary to have a visa just to roam around? But if one is powerful and wealthy, any visa can be obtained. Therefore, the Communist Party members travel all over the world. This forms one of the most unethical phenomena in human history: those who escape from authoritarianism are its very supporters.
现在中国人手中的手机是最独特的手机， 来自google的安卓系统删除了 google， 来自美国苹果公司的iphone其实在中国生产， 在台湾人开的工厂里加工。 拿着手机的人在电磁空间如同明亮的信号源在移动。 而早被赶出联合 国的台湾人， 他们去到更多的国家竟然不需要鉴证。 奉信弱国无外交的人 们没有想过台湾在承受长期打压之后是如何做到的， 中国人手中的互联网早已经变成：不联世界网。 一个最独特的最大的独立网络， 这里人们必须说： 台湾是中国的。
Now, the smartphones in Chinese hands are uniquely distinct, Google's Android system has removed Google itself, Apple's iPhone, made in China, is actually produced in factories run by Taiwanese people in Taiwan. The people holding these phones move like bright signal sources in the electromagnetic space. And the Taiwanese, who were long ago expelled from the United Nations, find themselves needing no proof of their status when they go to more countries. Those who believe that "weak nations have no diplomacy" did not consider how Taiwan managed to achieve this after enduring prolonged suppression. The internet in Chinese hands has already transformed into: Non-World Internet. A unique and largest independent network where one must say: Taiwan is part of China.
其实阿Q们可以对全世界说：你是我儿子的。
Actually, Ah Q can say to the whole world: You are my son.
从人类语言的角度来说， 中文是一种难于说真话的语言， 然而台湾却提供了一个反例， 在台湾人们有更多机会用中文说出真话。 因此仅从中文的命运来说， 保留台湾的独立对人类史有难于估量的意义。 也恰好因为中文与中文史的特点， 合体为一个独特物种的所谓中国人民是绝不会放生台湾的。
From the perspective of human language, Chinese is a language that finds it difficult to tell the truth, yet Taiwan offers an exception, where people have more opportunities to speak the truth in Chinese. Therefore, merely from the fate of Chinese, preserving Taiwan's independence holds an immeasurable significance for human history. It is also precisely because of the characteristics of Chinese and its history that so-called the Chinese people would never let go of Taiwan.
中国人民不是一个「人」的概念，它是一种合体，一种缝合怪。
The Chinese people is not a concept of "people"; it is a composite entity, a kind of stitched monster.
人类从一个曾经在山野中流浪的物种， 演化到今天近70亿人口。 远古时期在大自然采集食物， 猎杀动物， 在农业时期养殖食物， 在工业时期中进入工厂劳动， 一直到今天生活在大型城市之间， 在街道、商场、各种交通工具和办公室里谋生。 生命的过程依旧是生存。 现在很少有人需要担心自己死于大自然的凄风冷雨中， 却也很少有人能够按照自己的想法去生活。 生活仍然更多的只是生存。
Humans, once a species wandering in mountains and fields, have evolved to nearly 7 billion people today. In ancient times, gathering food from nature and hunting animals, during the agricultural period, raising food, in the industrial era entering factories for labor, and up until now living in large cities, making a living on streets, in malls, various modes of transportation, and offices. The process of life is still about survival. Now, few people need to worry about dying from the harshness of nature's elements, but also few can live according to their own desires. Life remains more about survival.
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